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I want to tell you that you HAVE to short natural gas.   I want to tell you that the $8.50/mcf natural gas that we saw this week is crazy.     That the price is going to come down hard.  The market is hugely backwardated--meaning prices are much lower in the months farther out on "the strip".   The easy...
The Last Big Revolution in Energy in the 2000s was underground—The Shale Revolution. The Next Big Revolution in Energy is above ground—The Smart Grid, and the Internet of Things (IoT). What is a Revolution? It’s where disruptive change comes into a market, creating Big New Winners. And that’s happening now with the...
PLANT-BASED FOOD IS THE BIG MEME OF 2021 The trades that have worked in 2020 —– Work From Home, Electric Vehicles, Renewable Energy—are all tied to industries that are experiencing incredible revenue growth.  The hot growth sectors of 2020 have literally generated 20 years of stock market returns over a time...
It’s quite plausible that The Biggest Winner in Donald Trump’s America First energy plan is--Canadian heavy oil producers. In Trump’s “An America First Energy Plan” he laid out his vision for the country’s energy policies going forward.  This plan had seven key points: Make America energy independent, create millions of new...
If you’re an investor over 50 years old,  you have a bar of gold in your head.What I mean by that is—you’re aware of how gold is SUPPOSED to work in a diversified investment portfolio. It's an inflation hedge; it's an insurance policy...it's nebulous now, in this market, but...
THREE THEMES TO CHANGE YOUR ENERGY VIEWS Why Oil and Natural Gas Should Both Be Stronger To 2020 What happens to oil prices if OPEC does not co-ordinate a cut in oil production?  What happens to natural gas prices if Old Man Winter doesn't show up again this year? Energy strategist Dan...
There are some very high yielding US mortgage REITs and mortgage originators that I wonder about…because I think it’s a good chance their mid-teen yields are sustainable with the new US stimulus package helping out.Mortgage REITs suffered some of the worst losses of any sector in March and the...
Logistics are a bigger piece of the energy pie than ever before—especially rail.  Most energy investors are familiar now with the huge rise in crude-by-rail; getting Canadian and Bakken crude to the east and west coast refineries in the United States. It saved the profit margins for many oil producers,...