Here’s a current chart of the oil price you probably don’t recognize: This is a custom built chart of Canadian heavy oil prices (Western Canada Select--WCS)—in Canadian dollars. (Canadian dollar charts are hard to find!).  This chart takes into account the lower Canadian dollar against the greenback.  It shows that...
Part 2 of a 3-part Series: The new “tight”or “unconventional” oil and gas plays being discovered all over the world are so different from conventional production that independent reserve evaluators face new challenges when calculating reserves. That was one of the findings that came out of a conversation I had with...
Apache’s new High Alpine discovery on the SW edges of the Permian Basin is one of the three most important inflection points in the North American energy market in the last decade. (The other two are the rise of the oily Bakken play in North Dakota and the gassy Marcellus...
By Nathan Weiss and Keith Schaefer Where is all the oil coming from?   Oil inventories continue to surge, but U.S. production has flatlined for weeks—even months. I mean really—look at these simple facts that have been staring the Market in the face for months: Year-to-date (YTD) production in 2015 in the U.S. is...
By: Bill Powers Valuing public companies is a black art. Analysts use many metrics, and when delivering a final price target on a stock, use the average of several methods—cash flow multiple, Net Asset Value and the esoteric “management premium”. But I want to suggest to investors that right now, one of...
Many investors study supply and demand statistics to figure out where they think the oil price is going. But by far, the biggest factor that determines the oil price is the US dollar, says Donald Dony, who pens The Technical Speculator investment newsletter. “The US dollar is absolutely pivotal for commodity...
The last few months have seen a flurry of E&Ps announcing changes to their business strategy, moving from a growth-through-drilling focus toward an income-and-dividend model. These companies realize things are changing in the oil patch. Commodity price forecasts are down and investor euphoria over billion-barrel resource plays is fading. The stocks...
Something Doesn’t Add Up In North Dakota’s November Production Report If you want to find buried treasure, you have to dig. And even then you may find the treasure chest is empty. That’s what happened to me this last two weeks as I realized one bit of oil data made NO sense...